PILOT SPIN

Spin Zone => Spin Zone => Topic started by: President-Elect Bob Noel on August 25, 2020, 09:26:31 AM

Title: watch the panic...
Post by: President-Elect Bob Noel on August 25, 2020, 09:26:31 AM
An AP article reports claims that Univ Hong Kong scientists "claim to have the first evidence of someone being reinfected with the virus that causes COVID-19."

A different strain.

Note that the first time he had "mild symptoms" the first time and "none" the second time.

But people will take away that you can get infected again and you don't have lifelong immunity.  Almost nobody will notice that people get infected but not have any symptoms.  How many people get the virus and      don't     get     sick?

Title: Re: watch the panic...
Post by: EppyGA - White Christian Domestic Terrorist on August 25, 2020, 10:44:36 AM
An AP article reports claims that Univ Hong Kong scientists "claim to have the first evidence of someone being reinfected with the virus that causes COVID-19."

A different strain.

Note that the first time he had "mild symptoms" the first time and "none" the second time.

But people will take away that you can get infected again and you don't have lifelong immunity.  Almost nobody will notice that people get infected but not have any symptoms.  How many people get the virus and      don't     get     sick?
You mean like the flu?   8)
Title: Re: watch the panic...
Post by: President-Elect Bob Noel on August 25, 2020, 11:13:32 AM
You mean like the flu?   8)

actually, no.  I mean dont have    ANY    symptoms. 

Aside:  Do people carry the flu without being sick?

Title: Re: watch the panic...
Post by: Username on August 25, 2020, 11:19:27 AM
actually, no.  I mean dont have    ANY    symptoms. 

Aside:  Do people carry the flu without being sick?
Yep.  One in three people with the flu are asymptomatic
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2646474/

But transmission from asymptomatic people is not well studied because, well, they don't show any symptoms.
Title: Re: watch the panic...
Post by: President-Elect Bob Noel on August 25, 2020, 11:40:15 AM
Thanks for the link.

Title: Re: watch the panic...
Post by: EppyGA - White Christian Domestic Terrorist on August 25, 2020, 11:48:41 AM
actually, no.  I mean dont have    ANY    symptoms. 

Aside:  Do people carry the flu without being sick?
Actually I meant like getting the flu more than once.
Title: Re: watch the panic...
Post by: bflynn on August 25, 2020, 12:04:20 PM
I've always thought any immunity was not permanent.  But it looks like we can get a vaccine for it, which should boost herd immunity to the point that the virus can't really spread anymore.

My expectation is that we're going to live with this forever and that we'll be getting vaccines forever.  The US has a contract for 300 million doses of Astrazenaca's vaccine, but I suspect that will get us 3-6 months down the road at best.  Like the common cold, we probably can never "cure" this, but we'll just have to keep it beat back.

I'd feel good if I'm wrong, but if I'm right, AZN stock is going soaring.
Title: Re: watch the panic...
Post by: President-Elect Bob Noel on August 25, 2020, 01:26:03 PM
Actually I meant like getting the flu more than once.

good point