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Messages - Gary

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16
I enjoyed the cartoon at the beginning of the article.

Was a good cartoon!

 
if one accepts that man made climate change is real and is a significant problem, I don't see how declaring it a national security threat will do anything except take away money and resources from dealing with actual national security threats.

Even if one does not accept man made climate change is real, there is no doubt our climate is changing, always has and always will.  I see nothing in the Presidential Memorandum that identifies man-made climate change as a national security threat.   

Not at all unreasonable for climate change in general to be considered as part of our national security plan - which is exactly what the Presidential Memo does.  Say sea levels were to rise 1 foot through a mechanism entirely unrelated to a man-made activity - seems reasonable the we should consider what that would do to the country, economy, population, and the effect on our national security.

17
Spin Zone / Re: The People Have Spoken
« on: December 13, 2017, 05:52:55 PM »
Yep. Even my favorite feminist Tammy Bruce last night said that she truly believes that McConnell wants to be the minority leader and is willing to lose the Senate to prevent Trump from having a successful presidency.  I shit you not.

Wow!  Does McConnell have a thing about Presidents?  He also promised to prevent Obama from having a successful presidency.  ;)


18
Spin Zone / Re: Hatchet Man
« on: December 13, 2017, 04:18:18 PM »
Evidenced by the Fed just raising rates because the economy is heating up under Trump.

Yep our economy, and more importantly, the rest of the worlds economies, has been improving steadily for the past few years.  That's a good thing!  How much of that is due to the President? - some, by no means all.

19
Spin Zone / Re: Hatchet Man
« on: December 13, 2017, 02:38:35 PM »
Interesting concept, can't say I agree.  As the President is discovering, running the US government (and actually getting something accomplished) is MUCH different that running a family owned business.  Don't believe the President is evil, do believe we are seeing the Peter Principal in action.

20
Spin Zone / Re: Thanks, Pilot Spin
« on: December 13, 2017, 02:33:49 PM »
Ouch!  Two major surgeries in three months!  Hopefully the problems are solved and recovery is the last step.

21
Spin Zone / Re: The People Have Spoken
« on: December 13, 2017, 02:31:22 PM »
Who, exactly, is pulling these strings? By name is preferred.

I don't buy into this entire thing being orchestrated or being some big, masterful plan.

Moore lost because he was a bad candidate. Him losing is a good thing for the Republicans. Yes, the Republicans have only the slightest of a majority in the Senate, but it's still a majority. If Republicans put up good, strong candidates in 2018 then they should actually gain seats in the Senate.

Agree the conspiracy theories are over the top, sort of like blaming the Establishment for all that is wrong.

Moore was a poor choice of candidate. Moving aside the predator charges, he still had significant baggage that would have been detrimental to the Republicans. This isn't a mortal blow to the Republicans, however it is another in a long line of missed opportunities. That was a Senate seat they should have easily won in perhaps the reddest of red states. 

The Democrats now have a golden opportunity, if they can find those "good, strong candidates" to run they do have an excellent chance of making up ground.  Unfortunately, I'm not all that encouraged they will do so.  The Dems need a direction and message, just saying they are anti-Trump is not going to do it.

22
Spin Zone / Re: Really Mueller?
« on: December 02, 2017, 05:07:41 PM »
You need the translator?  Trump is saying "Flynn did nothing illegal and I didn't break the law either, so don't try to pin something on me."

In the scope of the investigation into collusion between the candidate and Trump, this is only slightly more serious than someone not washing their hands after using the restroom.

Is the President saying he knew Flynn lied to the FBI?  Is that why he fired him?

23
Spin Zone / Re: Really Mueller?
« on: December 02, 2017, 04:55:45 PM »
This is interesting:

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/937007006526959618

Had to read that three times, still not sure what the President means. 

24
Spin Zone / Re: Really Mueller?
« on: December 02, 2017, 04:39:59 PM »
Ken Starr spent 5 years investigating the Clintons and couldn't come up with anything better than a stained dress.

Any idea of what we spent on the Bengazi hearings, all 20 or 30 of them?

25
Spin Zone / Re: Really Mueller?
« on: December 02, 2017, 04:37:59 PM »
Actually, he did but didn't out it all.  I know a lady who was involved with that investigation and she said the decision was made not to press it.  But there was plenty of evidence of him having committed crimes, including perjury, lying and obstruction.  But given the political environment at the time, there was zero chance of him being removed from office, so it would have just prolonged the circus.

Do tell!!!  My second cousin knows that her hairdresser has a client that says Bill Clinton was completely innocent!  (said in pure jest).

But beside the fact President Clinton was elected (twice) means that the voters knew and didn't care.  At least I've heard similar logic from the current President.  That being said, I'd rate President Clinton somewhere below pond scum.  Was a talented politician however.

26
You are right.  The Rs took a page out of the Ds playbook.

Pretty sure the playbook has been written by both sides! ;)

btw, welcome back.  Haven't heard from you for a while.  Hopefully, you and Asechrest will hang around to help keep this place from sounding like an echo chamber.  It was getting to the point that we had to start fighting with each other because of lack of viable targets.

Thanks.  Lot of travel over the last few months, read a lot, just haven't posted, maybe just lost interest or suffered from political burnout.  Happy to serve as a foil and point out the errors of that vast right-wing conspiracy!  ;)

27
Spin Zone / Re: Now Yellen is worried about the debt!
« on: December 02, 2017, 04:21:01 PM »
Have you ever heard of the Community Reinvestment Act?

Sure have, and I'm sure you know that the poster boy of bad lending practice, Countrywide, was not subject to the CRA.

Andrew Cuomo (N.Y. AG) admitted that banks were forced to make affirmative action sub prime loans.
Janet Reno prosecuted several banks that refused or resisted.

There is a difference between affirmative action and FORCING lenders to make bad loans.  There isn't a single law, regulation or guidance that forces a lender to make a load they know is bad.  Whether they wish to do so however is a different matter!  ;) 

Given a choice of making a safe profit, or being prosecuted, even the most honest and ethical businessmen will choose the profit.  And we all know not all businessmen are angels.

This is true!

AIG was kind of a special case, and even today experts are debating what went wrong there.  But IMNSHO, much of their problem resulted from overzealous Federal Regulators and the fact that they invested in REITS and SWAPS that had AAA ratings because the government guaranteed them.  Ratings are meaningless when the government guarantees them).And when everything went to shit, the Feds stepped in and screwed AIG.  (This is all from memory.  I am sure you will want to make corrections and additions).

Again, follow the money, AIG was an insurance company, yes they were highly regulated, whether that was overzealous is a matter of opinion.  Mortgage backed securities, and particularly derivatives where hardly regulated at all.  Agree that much of the ratings from the likes of Moodys, et all were garbage, but the government (Freddie and Fannie) did not guarantee all mortgages securities, far from it.  Add up the total values of the first mortgages and compare that to the value of the secondary instruments and you will see that that value of the initial mortgages was dwarfed by the value of the derivatives and Mortgage Backed Securities. 

28
Spin Zone / Re: Tillerson Possibly Out; Pompeo Possibly In
« on: December 02, 2017, 04:02:41 PM »
I get it. The dude is an incredibly evil dictator. But I think I fall toward Jim's opinion that he's not crazy in the sense that he makes irrational decisions that are fully contrary to his very evil goals.  I've seen nothing to suggest he wants anything other than to remain a dictatorial evildoer in complete and total control of his country and people. A direct attack on the US would be fully contrary to that goal. Everyone knows that a direct nuclear attack on the US by NK would result in total annihilation of the latter.

No, don't believe Kim is 'crazy".  In addition to the points you raised, Kim also needs an enemy.  We are perfectly suited for that and he uses it to his advantage.  Fear is pretty powerful, so as long as he uses us as the means to keep the populace in dread of being attacked by the US, he consoles his power.

Wonder if the solution isn't just the opposite from what we are doing. Drop all the sanctions, encourage trade with other countries and bring them into the world such that the general populace sees just what the rest of the world is like, not just Kim's picture of it.

Believe it will be impossible to remove nukes from N. Korea.

29
Spin Zone / Re: Yes, FOX News is biased, but . . .
« on: December 02, 2017, 03:54:11 PM »
It's worse than that.  Anyone that gets their news from dozens of sources is going to have a warped view, unless one of their sources is Fox.

I agree that Fox is biased, but I rarely, if ever, find that they refuse to cover a subject because it goes against their "agenda".  They might not pound on it endlessly, but they will cover it.  The others completely ignore what they don't like.

That is a an interesting observation.  Personally, I think CNN has the widest coverage of topics than anyone else.  That by no means says they are the most objective in their coverage.

30
Spin Zone / Re: Now Yellen is worried about the debt!
« on: December 02, 2017, 03:49:01 PM »
The ratings were done using the same quant model. When you remove the risk of default, practically every one gets a perfect rating. The banks (and Fanny and the insurers and the raters) had taken that risk out, so by the model it was AAA rated. Nobody did anything underhanded, they all got led astray...perhaps willfully by virtue of not wanting to question it...by a bad risk model

Any time someone tells you that all the rules have changed, doubt it.

Very true!  And, since the rating agencies were paid by the banks, there was a vested interest in providing "good" ratings.  While Freddie and Fannie were a major player, they were by no means the only players, demand for "low risk securities" boomed in the later 1990's and early 2000's.  In the end, Freddie and Fannie fueled the secondary market for mortgage backed securities, however they are much more a mortgage insurance company, they actually hold very few mortgages.

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