61
Spin Zone / Re: Climate Change, the sequel
« on: July 19, 2023, 03:37:50 PM »Interesting. You don’t like petroleum, but you enjoy using its products recreationally.
PILOT SPIN
News:
Welcome to PILOT SPIN!
Show Posts
This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.
4 Likes
62
Spin Zone / Re: Climate change
« on: July 10, 2023, 06:54:20 AM »It doesn't matter what the answer is, you won't believe it. All you'll do is insult whoever gives it and try and bully them if they persist.
The thing is you can't answer it. Nobody knows. Not even the experts that say man is contributing a great deal. They cannot nail down that we are raising the temperature by x amount and the average temperature "should" be y. We don't know what x and y are. Therefore we cannot design a response to fight it. We wouldn't know if we were anywhere near compensating for it, or overshooting the mark (which would be catastrophic, it would lead to an ice age deadly to many species), or having statistically insignificant effect while driving millions into poverty because of the cost.
Those who claim they know what x and y are don't agree with each other and do not agree over time, and have been wrong again and again for decades. It's simply crazy to set public policy without having a clear idea where the goalpost is. It would be different if public policy had no cost and was painless but that's far from the case.
63
Spin Zone / Re: Roe v. Wade Overturned
« on: July 10, 2023, 06:51:03 AM »Ok, let me make you guys hate me even more.Won't work. 100 is average. Eliminate everyone who is below average and then the average intelligence increases. Then eliminate everyone below that new average. And the average increases again. Keep on going and then I will be the only one left.
I think the government should provide free abortions on demand for anyone with an IQ less than 100.
In fact, I think we should make it mandatory. Why should we allow stupid people to breed like rabbits,and then support those people when they become Democrats.
64
Spin Zone / Re: Climate change
« on: July 10, 2023, 06:46:43 AM »The only way I get you guys to admit that the climate is changing is to insinuate that some of you don't believe it is. Then you guys will react to that.I don't know anyone here who is denying that the climate is changing. I believe that we all agree that the climate is changing. It has always been changing. It will always be changing.
Here is my whole point: The climate is changing. Man is contributing to that and we should reduce that contribution as much as possible. But I say "climate change" and you think I'm saying "OMG, MMCC! man is destroying the world and killing the polar bears and melting the ice caps and wer'e all gonna die". That's not what I'm saying,Here is the main point of contention. Yes, man is contributing to that change. We don't know if that contribution is causing a significant change in the rate of change of climate. Let's say that man's contribution is to double the rate of change. That puts the climate at where it would be if man had NO contribution naturally in 100 years (just a guess... who knows?). We're going to get there anyway. Let's start adapting to that change in climate rather than trying to stop the inevitable.
Reducing our standard of living to slow the rate of change is useless. Giving all our money to some guy who is shouting at the rising tide to stop doing so is useless.
65
Spin Zone / Re: Climate Change, the sequel
« on: July 08, 2023, 05:04:29 AM »^^^^^^This! Plus NONE of their doom and gloom predictions have come true. NONE!
I’m old now and I’ve been hearing the doom and gloom, world is gonna end in ten years, all my life and it never happened. So I am wiser and can’t be fooled anymore. The young whippersnappers hearing it for the first time think they know truth and are all full of piss and vinegar and like most of us when young think they’re gonna go out and change the world but in reality they lack perspective and don’t know shit. These are the idiots gluing themselves to roads.
66
Spin Zone / Re: Climate Change, the sequel
« on: July 08, 2023, 03:51:30 AM »They can't even measure temperatures without changing them to fit their big Government solutions and taxes narrative. They have to LIE and cheat because it is ALL A HOAX. Like Covid only worse. Way worse.
The problem is the lying and the grift. If they’d been honest from the start they would have credibility. But just like the CDC with Covid, they destroyed any semblance of credibility and now wonder why we don’t trust their “science”.
Covid is a real disease and there were ways to manage it properly. Perhaps the vax is good for old people. But we now know it is unnecessary and problematic for the very young. Maybe we learned that ventilators were counterproductive. We definitely learned that masks and lockdowns create more problems than they solve, to the point of being disastrous. If the “experts” and politicians had been honest about all of this all along, and had some humility and admitted that they are learning as we go, instead of lying and forcing unproven mandates on us, we wouldn’t now mistrust them so much.
The climate change people did the exact same thing. Maybe climate change is something to be concerned about. But if it is, the self-anointed activists have totally burned their bridges with public trust by lying, exaggerating, censoring debate, cherry picking models, blacklisting dissenting scientists, and abusing the issue for personal enrichment. Why the hell would I believe anything they say now?
I think what Little Joe is saying is we can separate the wheat from the chaff and address the actual real concerns, which he believes exist at least to a degree. I agree there are some environmental issues. We should preserve “jungles” for example (why the hell is that a bad word now?) but not because the whole planet will die if we don’t, but because they are the source of new medications, and are the habitat of non-human primates which we don’t want to go extinct.
We should limit air pollution just for health reasons and clean up trash for aesthetic reasons. But the fear mongering about the world is going to end in x number of years if you don’t give the government more money, they have cried wolf too many times. Now, even if it turns out to be true (and why do I think it won’t) we owe them no trust whatsoever.
67
Spin Zone / Climate Change, the sequel
« on: July 07, 2023, 07:58:38 PM »
The WSJ made the following editorial yesterday that is dead on relevant to some of the questions raised in the closed thread:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-white-house-tells-the-truth-about-climate-change-global-warming-gdp-temperature-economic-growth-52aaf575?st=qo0bho4bvfhmlbr&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
In case the link fails to work, here is the text (the actual article includes a projected GDP change vs Temperature change graph):
"The White House Tells the Truth About Climate Change
A report reveals that global temperature changes barely affects economic growth.
The journalist Michael Kinsley famously noted that “a gaffe is when a politician tells the truth.” By that standard, the White House committed a doozy in March when it released a paper on climate change’s effect on the U.S. economy. Its findings undermine any claims of an ongoing climate crisis or imminent catastrophe.
The report, produced by the Council of Economic Advisers and the Office of Management and Budget, assesses how the economic consequences of climate change could be integrated into federal budgeting. The report’s first figure—reproduced nearby—shows 12 independent peer-reviewed estimates of how America’s gross domestic product would decline as the global temperature rises.
While the estimates differ, each shows an economic impact of less than a few percentage points for a few degrees of warming. The consensus, apart from two counterbalancing outliers, is that today’s warming of 2.2 degrees Fahrenheit has reduced GDP by less than 0.5%. That is trivial, considering real GDP has grown by more than 800% since 1950. If warming reaches 4.5 degrees—about what the United Nation’s climate panel projects for 2100 under plausible scenarios for future global emissions—the consensus reduction amounts to less than 2%. In other words, if the average annual GDP growth rate is 1.5% for the next 80 years, the economy would grow 232%. A 2% climate-change effect would reduce that growth to 225%. As physicists say, that’s a difference “in the noise.”
Economic modeling combined with climate modeling can only be described as a doubly dismal enterprise, rife with uncertainties and untestable assumptions. The White House report offers caveats appropriate to its projections, including that the impact estimates are uncertain, that the consequences of climate may be uneven across sectors and regions, that GDP isn’t the only measure of climate’s effect, and that some types of impacts are omitted.
But, critically, the report also omits America’s amazing capacity to adapt, if not thrive, under a changing climate. The U.S., excluding Alaska and Hawaii, has warmed about 2 degrees Fahrenheit since 1901. Despite that warming, the nation has flourished: Its population has quadrupled, its average life expectancy soared, to 79 years from 48, and its economic activity per capita multiplied around sevenfold. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projects a comparable warming for early next century, but our nation’s experience should lead us to believe that climate change will be only a minor detriment to national welfare. Even hypothetical tipping points—practically irreversible changes such as disintegration of the Greenland ice sheet—are projected to have only minimal effect on the global economy.
A later section of the White House report reinforces how little future greenhouse-gas emissions are expected to affect the U.S. economy in coming decades. It projects that today’s “debt-to-GDP ratio” will rise to 111.2% at midcentury if the world is on a path to achieve net-zero emissions by 2075, while it would rise to 112.6% under an equally unlikely high-emissions scenario. There is little doubt that many factors other than climate—such as technology and trade—will be far more consequential for the economy and debt over the next 25 years. The 1.4% difference between these two extreme scenarios is, again, in the noise.
The report’s authors should be commended for honestly delivering likely unwelcome messages, even if they didn’t make a show of it. The rest of the Biden administration and its climate-activist allies should moderate their apocalyptic rhetoric and cancel the climate crisis accordingly. Exaggerating the magnitude, urgency and certainty of the climate threat encourages ill-considered policies that could be more disruptive and expensive than any change in the climate itself."
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-white-house-tells-the-truth-about-climate-change-global-warming-gdp-temperature-economic-growth-52aaf575?st=qo0bho4bvfhmlbr&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
In case the link fails to work, here is the text (the actual article includes a projected GDP change vs Temperature change graph):
"The White House Tells the Truth About Climate Change
A report reveals that global temperature changes barely affects economic growth.
The journalist Michael Kinsley famously noted that “a gaffe is when a politician tells the truth.” By that standard, the White House committed a doozy in March when it released a paper on climate change’s effect on the U.S. economy. Its findings undermine any claims of an ongoing climate crisis or imminent catastrophe.
The report, produced by the Council of Economic Advisers and the Office of Management and Budget, assesses how the economic consequences of climate change could be integrated into federal budgeting. The report’s first figure—reproduced nearby—shows 12 independent peer-reviewed estimates of how America’s gross domestic product would decline as the global temperature rises.
While the estimates differ, each shows an economic impact of less than a few percentage points for a few degrees of warming. The consensus, apart from two counterbalancing outliers, is that today’s warming of 2.2 degrees Fahrenheit has reduced GDP by less than 0.5%. That is trivial, considering real GDP has grown by more than 800% since 1950. If warming reaches 4.5 degrees—about what the United Nation’s climate panel projects for 2100 under plausible scenarios for future global emissions—the consensus reduction amounts to less than 2%. In other words, if the average annual GDP growth rate is 1.5% for the next 80 years, the economy would grow 232%. A 2% climate-change effect would reduce that growth to 225%. As physicists say, that’s a difference “in the noise.”
Economic modeling combined with climate modeling can only be described as a doubly dismal enterprise, rife with uncertainties and untestable assumptions. The White House report offers caveats appropriate to its projections, including that the impact estimates are uncertain, that the consequences of climate may be uneven across sectors and regions, that GDP isn’t the only measure of climate’s effect, and that some types of impacts are omitted.
But, critically, the report also omits America’s amazing capacity to adapt, if not thrive, under a changing climate. The U.S., excluding Alaska and Hawaii, has warmed about 2 degrees Fahrenheit since 1901. Despite that warming, the nation has flourished: Its population has quadrupled, its average life expectancy soared, to 79 years from 48, and its economic activity per capita multiplied around sevenfold. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projects a comparable warming for early next century, but our nation’s experience should lead us to believe that climate change will be only a minor detriment to national welfare. Even hypothetical tipping points—practically irreversible changes such as disintegration of the Greenland ice sheet—are projected to have only minimal effect on the global economy.
A later section of the White House report reinforces how little future greenhouse-gas emissions are expected to affect the U.S. economy in coming decades. It projects that today’s “debt-to-GDP ratio” will rise to 111.2% at midcentury if the world is on a path to achieve net-zero emissions by 2075, while it would rise to 112.6% under an equally unlikely high-emissions scenario. There is little doubt that many factors other than climate—such as technology and trade—will be far more consequential for the economy and debt over the next 25 years. The 1.4% difference between these two extreme scenarios is, again, in the noise.
The report’s authors should be commended for honestly delivering likely unwelcome messages, even if they didn’t make a show of it. The rest of the Biden administration and its climate-activist allies should moderate their apocalyptic rhetoric and cancel the climate crisis accordingly. Exaggerating the magnitude, urgency and certainty of the climate threat encourages ill-considered policies that could be more disruptive and expensive than any change in the climate itself."
68
Spin Zone / Re: The Senile Pedophile Speaks About a Railroad Across the Indian Ocean
« on: June 17, 2023, 08:04:17 AM »God save the Queen, man!
Is this the real life? Is this just fantasy?
Caught in a landslide, no escape from reality
Open your eyes, look up to the skies and see
69
Spin Zone / Re: Covidiocy Continued
« on: June 15, 2023, 06:27:21 AM »This doctor spoke against two regime narratives. He tried repeatedly to warn people about the devastating effects of prescribing testosterone to women, and he tried to promote the use of convalescent plasma for Covid instead of the killing therapies. This is the Mayo Clinic, folks. “Problematic statements.”
https://www.postbulletin.com/business/free-speech-group-pushes-mayo-clinic-over-its-discipline-of-dr-michael-joyner-for-problematic-statements
Just to be clear, prescribing testosterone to women per se isn’t the problem. Normal women are supposed to have a little bit of testosterone, and if you are completely deficient you can correct it, but that’s not what he’s talking about. I quote: “ …about the long-term effects of testosterone on transgender female athletes.”
That’s what’s dangerous. If you have two X chromosomes and no Y, your body isn’t designed to handle 1000 ng/dL of testosterone. But you’re supposed to have up to 100 ng/dL. This is optimal for your bones, cardiovascular health and mental health.
I fear conservatives are going to start banning testosterone for women without parsing this difference, or even if they do, practitioners and pharmacies will self-ban for fear of liability or mistaken enforcement. This is already happening with states that have banned the “abortion pill” which is also used to treat miscarriage.
Once again I lay the blame for any looming conservative backlash squarely at the feet of the insane radical left. Without them pushing late term abortions, and now shoving LGBTQ+ into the spotlight 24/7, this pushback would not have happened.
The right was not initiating radical crackdowns on these issues before the left pushed way too far. Most people have relatively centrist positions on life: live and let live. We are caught in the crossfire between these growing extremist factions, again, it is driven by leftist overreach, probably in concert with the greedy abortion industry, transgender industry and pharmaceutical companies. They couldn’t leave well enough alone with reasonable levels of these things but had to increase the profit by increasingly messing with peoples’ reproductive systems.
This is becoming a disaster all the way around.
70
Spin Zone / Re: What is a Woman streams on Twitter at 8:00 ET
« on: June 07, 2023, 05:11:48 AM »You’re just too busy watching our boobs bounce around as we yammer endlessly about nothing. Come on, admit it.I think I posted this here before, not sure, but it applies here:
Child: Mom, why did God make women so beautiful, but so dumb?
Mom: Well, God made women beautiful so men would love them.
And he made them dumb so they would love men back.
71
Spin Zone / Re: What is a Woman streams on Twitter at 8:00 ET
« on: June 07, 2023, 05:06:12 AM »Yes, we don't listen. We're too busy wanting to hear our own voices and think of what we want to say next. The key to seducing a woman is to SHUT UP and just listen and pretend to understand, even if you don't.
You’re just too busy watching our boobs bounce around as we yammer endlessly about nothing. Come on, admit it.
72
Spin Zone / Re: another icon bites the dust...
« on: May 16, 2023, 03:21:50 PM »
.........................
73
Spin Zone / Re: The End of Title 42
« on: May 11, 2023, 06:36:07 PM »
Here's my plan, these folks would probably be better workers than three quarters of Democrats in this country. For every one that comes in a USA hating Democrat gets expelled.
74
Spin Zone / Re: At the Movies
« on: May 11, 2023, 08:44:22 AM »
This is a good chicken flick. Even aviation content.
75
Spin Zone / Re: Joke Thread: Post 'em if ya got 'em
« on: April 21, 2023, 12:03:06 PM »
The Bee strikes again. Yesterday, legacy blue check marks were removed from non-paying verified account.
Original on twitter:
https://twitter.com/i/status/1645441748393684995
Original on twitter:
https://twitter.com/i/status/1645441748393684995