PILOT SPIN

Spin Zone => Spin Zone => Topic started by: Lucifer on April 06, 2016, 03:05:03 PM

Title: Delegates and Where the Candidates Stand
Post by: Lucifer on April 06, 2016, 03:05:03 PM

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/republicans/

Title: Re: Delegates and Where the Candidates Stand
Post by: nddons on April 06, 2016, 03:19:06 PM

Ted Cruz, Not Paul Ryan, Would Probably Win A Contested Convention
The ‘establishment’ might not like Cruz, but the delegates likely will.

By NATE SILVER

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But Republicans won’t be starting from scratch, and the “establishment” won’t pick the party’s nominee. The 2,472 delegates in Cleveland will. And most of them will be chosen at state or local party conventions a long way from Washington. Few will be household names, having quietly attended party gatherings in Fargo, North Dakota, or Cheyenne, Wyoming, for years with little remuneration or recognition. Although the proverbial Acela-riding insiders might dream of Ryan or Kasich, there are indications that the rank-and-file delegates are into Ted Cruz — and they’re the ones who will have votes in Cleveland.

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http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ted-cruz-not-paul-ryan-would-probably-win-a-contested-convention/