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Messages - Palmpilot

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1
Spin Zone / Re: January 6
« on: January 09, 2021, 07:43:37 AM »
I predict this will be dismissed here:

"(Reuters) - Fifty-seven percent of Americans want Republican President Donald Trump to be immediately removed from office after he encouraged a protest this week that escalated into a deadly riot inside the U.S. Capitol, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll."

"Nearly 70% of Americans surveyed also said they disapprove of Trump’s actions in the run-up to Wednesday’s assault. At a rally earlier in the day, Trump had exhorted thousands of his followers to march to the Capitol."

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-trump-poll/majority-of-americans-want-trump-removed-immediately-after-u-s-capitol-violence-reuters-ipsos-poll-idUSKBN29D2VG

The poll:

https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/oakpejbjqvr/Topline%20Reuters%20Capitol%20Unrest%20Overnight%20Survey%201%2008%202021.pdf

Don't worry: If you don't want it to be true, that means it isn't, right?

3
Spin Zone / Re: What Is The Proper Punishment For Election Stealing?
« on: December 23, 2020, 10:11:48 PM »
National Review weighs in:

‘It Must Have Been Stolen’

Debunking a myth

https://www.nationalreview.com/magazine/2020/12/31/it-must-have-been-stolen/

Excerpt:

"How can you spot a stolen election? Maybe just as important, how can you spot an election that isn’t stolen? You can never be entirely certain when the margins are fairly close, which is why stolen-election theories hold a natural attraction for conspiracy-minded partisans. But in terms of evidence, there are three signs to look for that might show that an election’s outcome was the result of fraud by voters or election officials: (1) direct evidence of illegally counted or discounted votes, (2) evidence of an unlawful process, and (3) anomalous results that make sense only if the election was fraudulent.

In the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump and his supporters have claimed to find all three. But the evi­dence presented of actual fraud has been persistently underwhelming and often just wrong. Trump’s legal team has, in multiple cases, withdrawn claims that it could prove fraud when it came time to lay its proof on the table. Everywhere it has tried to prove fraud with evidence in court, it has failed. Even the best argu­ments for direct proof of fraudulent votes end up a long distance from the tens of thousands of votes across multiple states that would be needed to overturn the outcome. Multiple conser­va­tive judges, several of them Trump appointees to the federal bench, have reached this conclusion...."

4
Nope.   However, if PA has to only count legal votes (those that arrive before the 8pm deadline as per PA law, and those that weren't cast fraudulently)) then Trump will likely win by 500,000 if not more.
What is the source for that number?

5
Spin Zone / Re: The Statistical Probability Dwarfs Imagination
« on: November 11, 2020, 11:28:58 PM »
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/10/us/politics/voting-fraud.html

The New York Times contacted the offices of the top election officials in every state on Monday and Tuesday to ask whether they suspected or had evidence of illegal voting. Officials in 45 states responded directly to The Times. For four of the remaining states, The Times spoke to other statewide officials or found public comments from secretaries of state; none reported any major voting issues.

Statewide officials in Texas did not respond to repeated inquiries.  But a spokeswoman for the top elections official in Harris County, the largest county in Texas with a population greater than many states, said that there were only a few minor issues and that “we had a very seamless election.” On Tuesday, the Republican lieutenant governor in Texas, Dan Patrick, announced a $1 million fund to reward reports of voter fraud.

Some states described small problems common to all elections, which they said they were addressing: a few instances of illegal or double voting, some technical glitches and some minor errors in math. Officials in all states are conducting their own review of the voting — a standard component of the certification process.


https://apnews.com/article/election-2020-donald-trump-virus-outbreak-general-elections-elections-4060823b211ce91959b26f46efb73636

“The practical consequence of Trump’s call to vigilance to prevent fraud was increased scrutiny from both sides, and this increased scrutiny seems to have worked,” Jones said. “Election officials have been more careful, and election procedures have been followed more scrupulously than usual.”

6
In all of the confusion I had forgot it was Joe Biden who thrust the knife into Clarence Thomas during his confirmation.

This is going to get interesting.


https://redstate.com/shipwreckedcrew/2020/11/11/the-revenge-of-clarence-thomas-bush-v-gore-and-the-facts-underlying-the-new-pennsylvania-lawsuit-n278286

Do we know yet how many ballots would be affected by this lawsuit?

7
Spin Zone / Re: Stop the Steal
« on: November 10, 2020, 08:20:00 PM »
What was the democratic evidence of Russian meddling? Some cockeyed statistical analysis? Or does Pelosi saying something automatically make it true?

Would you settle for republican evidence?

https://www.justice.gov/storage/report.pdf

9
Spin Zone / Re: The Statistical Proability Dwarfs Imagination
« on: November 09, 2020, 12:49:28 AM »
36 tweets debunking fraud allegations:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1324435797374808066

10
Pilot Zone / Re: Aviation in the News
« on: October 24, 2020, 12:12:35 AM »
All-Boeing Airline Southwest Opens Door to Rival Airbus

https://www.investors.com/news/boeing-stock-southwest-looks-adding-airbus-all-737-fleet/

Southwest Airlines (LUV), an all-Boeing (BA) carrier, will shop for a new plane, potentially ending the exclusive hold the 737 has on its fleet. Boeing stock fell.

During Southwest's third-quarter call earnings Thursday, Chief Operating Officer Mike Van de Ven said the carrier will decide in the next year or so on whether to buy more Boeing 737 Max-7 jets, the smallest in the family, or opt for Airbus (EADSY) A220s. Deliveries would start in 2025.

11
Pilot Zone / Aviation in the News
« on: October 23, 2020, 08:24:38 PM »
2 planes intercepted by F-16 fighter jet after entering restricted air space in Nashville area

https://www.wkrn.com/news/local-news/f-16-fighter-jet-intercepts-small-aircraft-that-violated-airspace-over-spring-hill/

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WKRN) — NORAD has confirmed two planes were intercepted on Thursday after entering restricted air space.

The first incident happened around 2 p.m. when NORAD command directed the jet to investigate the aircraft that was not in communication with air traffic control. The violating aircraft was nonresponsive to the initial intercept but established radio communications after the fighter jet deployed signal flares. The small aircraft then left the area without incident.

This was also around the time that Air Force One was heading into Nashville.

The second incident occurred at 4:40 p.m. over Spring Hill when NORAD directed the F-16 fighter aircraft to intercept a general aviation aircraft that was not in communication with air traffic control and entered the restricted area without proper clearance.

According to NORAD, the civil aviation aircraft pilot acknowledged the intercept and landed at a nearby airfield without incident.

15
Pilot Zone / Re: Ford Tri-Motor Restoration
« on: October 21, 2020, 09:38:00 PM »
Pics as soon as I can figure out how to make them smaller.

If you're talking about reducing the number of pixels in a picture, this software makes it easy to do that, and it's free for non-commercial use. You just go to the Image menu, select Resize/Resample, and enter the desired size as a percentage of the original size. I've been using it for years.

https://www.irfanview.net/


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