Popular vote is meaningless. Wow. To use that as an indicator of anything is counterproductive and considering many were fraudulent, even more misleading.
Certainly not determinative of who wins in the US. It does however indicate popular sentiment. I think it very unlikely that there were 7 million fraudulent votes, though I can imagine the sort of evidence that would be persuasive.
The electoral college was designed to push ambiguous outcomes one direction or the other so I can also imagine smaller amounts of fraud having an effect there, though have not seen convincing evidence of it.
That is why I ask, has anyone read the Heartland Institute report who could say it looks good and worth investigating further?
What could be going on with the electoral college is something like this. There are errors in any human process including elections. In a scientific experiment we consider 5% a reasonable error rate and the recommendation for voting is on the order of 2%. What that then means is that if you could repeat the election multiple times, that you could get differences of 2% with a fair frequency.
If the margin between two candidates is on the same order, then you will get different outcomes each time you repeat the election.
In that scenario, if some group commits fraud which amounts to 0.1 percent and it tips in one direction or the other, is it accurate to say that their fraud “caused” the outcome and was a “steal” of the election?
I would submit not in the normal sense of the word which implies in the average person’s mind a much higher causal contribution to the outcome, not a 5% shift in the probability.
The average person does not think in terms of statistical contributions to causality, but rather in terms of all or nothing causation. That is how our brains evolved.