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Messages - Steingar

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61
Spin Zone / Re: Welp I voted
« on: October 16, 2020, 10:46:39 AM »
Yep.

Just like the last civil war perpetrated by democrats in an effort to protect slave ownership, the current democrat party is ginning up a civil war to keep blacks ignorant and under their thumb.
Unlike the GOP, most of whom in the South are the descendants of the former Dixiecrats.  They just want to keep blacks in their place, like all good White Supremacists.  Yeah, the KKK use dot be Democrat.  Now it's very solidly Republican.

62
Spin Zone / Re: Welp I voted
« on: October 15, 2020, 07:52:48 AM »
Did you tell them they need to get their absentee ballot for their home precinct, or are they claiming their dorm or college residence is their home?

Yup.  I told them how easy it is to get an absentee ballot from their home district.  For most it will be their first Presidential election. I said it wasn't a privilege to vote, it was their duty to do so.  Democracy isn't a spectator sport.

63
Pilot Zone / Re: Ford Tri-Motor Restoration
« on: October 14, 2020, 06:30:56 AM »
Just got back from my first day. It was fun. A little history, it started off in an airline Mexico, then was used for flights between Florida and Cuba, it was then part of Island Airlines in Put-in-Bay from 1946-1952. It made it's way to Idaho, where it crashed, then it was bought and went to Michigan. It sat in Michigan for a long while when it was given to the foundation to be restored. The goal is to have it flight ready in 5 years. They are trying to knock off 1,000 pounds off the gross weight, so it can be flown single pilot only. I practiced riveting, drilling, and made a bracket to mount the ground power to the frame. It wasn't too pretty, but it will work. I've never really worked with sheet metal before.

Pics as soon as I can figure out how to make them smaller.
Congrats.  That sounds really cool.  Hopefully I'll stop up and visit one of these days.

64
Spin Zone / Re: What really is known about COVID19?
« on: October 14, 2020, 06:29:28 AM »
I was under the impression the virus was mutating weaker, that the case fatality rate is dropping over time.
Could be.  A virus that doesn't kill its host is going to stick around longer than one that does kill its host.  Also possible that we're just better at dealing with it than we were a few months back.  All that said, my worry has never been lethality. My worry is the damn thing is going to overwhelm our medical resources.  That, and we still don't really know everything it does in the body. The protein it binds to is found all other the place, including the vascular epithelium and the myocardium. 

65
Spin Zone / Re: Welp I voted
« on: October 14, 2020, 06:23:43 AM »
I voted absentee.  Didn't feel like risking getting the 'rona.  Dropped our ballots off the other day.  Place was busy too, good to see.  I told my students to get registered and vote.  Didn't tell them who to vote for, just told them that absentee ballots were really easy to get, and that they should make their voices heard.  They're the future.

66
Spin Zone / Re: What really is known about COVID19?
« on: October 13, 2020, 11:44:41 AM »
Have you heard of the Great Barrington Declaration?  How about these people?  Do they know as much as you? 

What I see is 6000 "scientists". That could be 6000 Geologists for all I know.  Having everything go back to normal with a deadly and highly infectious virus on the loose in a naive population is the dumbest idea I've yet heard.  And if you guys want to tell me this 'rona isn't deadly you'd be better off explaining that to the families and loved ones of the 200,000 Americans who have died of it. Our medical facilities could still be easily overwhelmed. This is seriously bad news.  Yeah, there are going to be hard times, but to me that beats lots and lots of dead people.  Remember that's 200,000 with us doing everything we can to stop the transmission of the virus.  Dwarfs a normal flu season, and we haven't even hit the fucking flu season yet.  This could easily get way worse.  And do keep in mind that the vaccines that are just around the corner are high experimental and have never worked before even once.  And if they don't, old school vaccines take 3 years to make to a novel virus.

One of my old friends got this a couple months ago and hasn't been right since.  Do whatever the fuck you want, I don't care.  I'm doing everything I can to sit this one out.

67
Spin Zone / Re: POTUS got COVID!
« on: October 06, 2020, 12:23:09 PM »
I think if someone really wanted to murder the POTUS there are far better ways of doing so than infecting him with the 'rona.  Hinkley nearly got Reagan, for example.  He came far closer than we were told at the time.

I hope Trump stays well, I honestly do, even though he's still peddling the wrong message about the virus.  A relapse could be really disastrous for him.

68
Spin Zone / Re: Laying the groundwork
« on: October 05, 2020, 06:41:03 PM »
Let's cut to the chase here.   You and your fellow travelers know what a scam this is.  And it's one you and your fellow travelers have embraced, because you see the power it gives you.

 Power is contagious, power is overwhelming.   You now have in your arsenal a powerful tool that allows you (meaning you and the radical left) to control the actions of others, and bypass that pesky document called the constitution.

By admitting the obvious lie would weaken you, and take away a valuable asset, so you maintain it no matter what.   Even making an inane argument to keep it, doesn't matter.

  So in the perfesser's world, "My Body, My Choice!" is OK as long as it's killing innocent human beings, but when it comes to the government arbitrarily stripping rights from citizens using absolutely no science to back it up, we should just comply, well, because!

So you really do think it tyranny that you’re required to wear pants? A mask is nothing more than another article of clothing. Seems like an awfully small thing to do get your knickers in a bunch.

69
I remember this.  Guy's engine went TU just after take off.  Dude did a great job, kept it under control and put it down in a field under control.  If memory serves everyone walked away.  Lots of times engine dies after takeoff and the outcome isn't anywhere near so good.

70
Spin Zone / Re: Laying the groundwork
« on: October 05, 2020, 12:30:20 PM »
But you driving a car, or riding a motorbike, or flying your airplane can't harm innocents around you?   Of course you can.   So should we allow government to remove those risk to protect everyone else?   Of course not.

Reduction to absurdity.  Kinda funny, since I don't drive daily anyway.

What you don't seem to get is the sick and the ones that are weakened need to be careful and safeguard themselves.  And that should be their individual choice, not governments.

The problem is it isn't always obvious who's going to get slammed with this thing.  But I can't have a choice to just shut myself in.  Gotta work, gotta get groceries to stuff down my neck. Everybody wears masks, less likely I get sick doing it. I don't get sick, I don't make anyone else sick. Everyone happy.

Remember the liberal battle cry "My body! My choice!" ?   Why is this not relevant in this discussion?

Again absurd.  All anyone is asking you to do with your body is not transmit sickness.

 
When you isolate the sick, the elderly and those who are compromised, it's called quarantine.

Elderly need groceries to stuff down their elderly necks.  If the guys supplying said groceries are sick because you were too important to wear a mask, elderly die.
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When you inflict needless orders against a healthy society it's called tyranny.

What is your big deal about masks?  Really?  Do you consider it tyranny that you have to wear trousers?

 
And by removing your right to drive we protect those who could be easily killed by your automobile, or your motorbike.   Shouldn't we protect the innocent?.
Again, absurd.  When I ride the scooter I'm far more likely to get hurt than hurt anyone.  That said, lots of folks have to drive to get to work and buy said groceries with their salaries.  Isn't optional.  Funny thing is locked up in their cages they aren't going to transmit viruses to anyone.

 
And how many GA crashes into houses have we seen?  If we remove the right to fly, we protect those innocents on the ground.  Don't they deserve protection?
Actually, GA crashes that hurt folks on the ground are a trifle rare.  In the meantime the 'rona has killed over 200,000 people and the year's not out.  I don't think 200,000 people have died in GA plane crashes in the history of GA.

71
Spin Zone / Re: Laying the groundwork
« on: October 05, 2020, 11:32:02 AM »
And here it is in a nutshell.   You agree risk is personal, and should be considered as such.

 So does everyone else here.   So why not let us, as individuals, make the determination of the risk we are willing to take, whether it be flying, driving, scuba diving, skydiving, etc and even how we want to deal with Covid19?

 For those who want to mask up, do so.  For those who want to avoid groups and socializing, go right ahead.   But please don't force everyone else to go along with it.  Personal choice, right?

Your right to liberty ends where you can infect me with a deadly virus.  What you still don't seem to understand is masks don't protect you, at least the ones you are most likely wearing.  I suspect the mask Mrs. Steingar made me is somewhat protective, but I've no proof.  Might just be emotional on my part.

Masks protect those around you.  You wear them as a courtesy to those with whom you come into contact.  If everyone masked up and maintained social distance the virus would have a really hard time of it.

Sure you do you and I'll do me, but that's because (thankfully) you live far away from me.  A pity you'll potentially spread the virus to those around you, but there's naught I can do about it. I'm just thankful that those who live and work around me are more considerate of the others in their community.

72
Spin Zone / Re: Laying the groundwork
« on: October 05, 2020, 10:37:40 AM »
But still, motorcycles are dangerous and the government should be out protecting us from ourselves; shouldn't they?
Motorcycles aren't dangerous, cages are.  If you ride enough bike that you can get away from the cages you're actually in fairly good stead if you ride responsibly.  Speaking of riding responsibly, if you take alcohol out of the motorcycle accident statistics bikes become far safer than airplanes and lots of other things.  Last I saw half of all motorcycle accidents involve some sort of recreational substance.

I admit I'm not Odin's gift to aviation and won't claim to be.  I hedge my bets there by only flying on VFR days.  I'll admit, the airplane could really get me.  That said, take running into weather and running out of gas out of the aircraft accident statistics and it gets better.  I don't push into bad wx ever, and I am conscientious to the point of paranoia about fuel.  That and I fly a Mooney.  If the chips come down down that hard all I have to do is bring the ship in under control.  Unless I'm crashing into a cliff face like Wile E. Coyote my Mooney will take care of me.

The vast majority of my flights are also in Flatistan, where I won't run into a cliff face like Wile E. Coyote.

And to be honest, most of my 'rona avoidance is because of Mrs. Steingar.  Bring the damn thing on, I think I'd rather get it over with.  But if my spouse of 28 years gets it she could easily die, she has significant comorbidities.  So no movies, no going out to dinner (just made yummy lox, don't have to), no parties, no nothing that isn't outside and doesn't involve more than a few people. I don't even like to go out shopping, too damn many people.  And I don't fly anywhere I have to worry about being in proximity to anyone. That includes all the friends I like to visit, all the relatives I have nearby, just about everyone.  And that's the way it will be until I'm vaccinated against this virus.  And if the choice is to continue to do this or take the Oxford vaccine, I'll continue my hermitage.

73
Spin Zone / Re: Laying the groundwork
« on: October 05, 2020, 07:42:13 AM »
You have a greater chance of dying riding your motorbike or driving your car, and even flying your airplane.   Are you cutting that activity out as well?
My risk on my bike and in my aircraft are controlled.  You might stand a greater risk of dying riding your motorcycle or flying your airplane, but I do not.

Going to a large gathering I can't control where the other participants have been.  I can't control where the air is flowing and can't accurately gauge it either, so if there are viral-laden aerosols I can't avoid them.  Personally, I honestly think having a giant wedding right now is the height of irresponsibility.  That said, it is a free country and people are entitled to be irresponsible.

74
Spin Zone / Re: Laying the groundwork
« on: October 05, 2020, 05:50:33 AM »
I believe that’s true. I went to a wedding this afternoon and reception this evening. 400 people were invited and 200 people showed up. Except for the servers and bartenders, there were 2/200 masktards there. For the first time in a long time, life went back to normal.
Unless someone was infectious.  In that case people could die.  I wouldn't subject people I care about to that kind risk to celebrate my nuptials.

75
Spin Zone / Re: Laying the groundwork
« on: October 04, 2020, 06:27:12 PM »
Interesting. What’s the mechanism about the Oxford one that will do that?
I mean neither to be pedantic nor long-winded. It can be very difficult to distill the nuances of biotechnology into layman’s terms. I will endeavor to do so.

Legacy vaccines are either killed or weakened viruses that can prime the immune system without causing disease. Most of the vaccines you’ve encountered fit into this paradigm.

About a decade ago a new type of vaccine came on the market from Merck. Human Pappilomavirus (HPV) was difficult to culture, so a part of the virus, one of its coat proteins, was cloned, expressed in yeast, purified and used as a vaccine. This was the first subunit vaccine, and has been wildly successful.

Some of the vaccines in Phase 3 trials are so-called mRNA vaccines. Like the HPV vaccine they rely on the expression of a coat protein of the virus. However, these vaccines trick your cells into producing the viral protein to prime the immune system. They deliver an mRNA.

The instructions to make your are encoded in your DNA. When it comes time for the DNA to direct production of a protein (which is one of the main things your DNA does) an mRNA is produced. The mRNA is taken to the site of protein production and directs assembly of the protein.

The mRNA vaccines deliver an artificial mRNA into cells that encodes a viral protein. The idea is the cell makes the viral protein and secretes it. Once in the bloodstream the immune system can react to it and you get your immunity.

It really isn’t as simple as that, since mRNAs are delicate things that are both easily destroyed and unable to enter cells. The mRNAs themselves have been strengthened and packaged into bodies that can penetrate cell membranes. They’ve been working on this a LONG time, but might have at last achieved success. If this works you’re going to see a host of therapeutics based on the concept.

The Oxford vaccine is similar in that it tricks cells to make viral proteins. However, the Oxford vaccine uses a virus to do the delivery. Called Adeno Associated Virus (AAV) it is a gene therapy delivery vector. AAV can persist in cells for a long time, so it can deliver needed proteins stably.  And there’s the rub.

I don’t know how long the mRNA’s from mRNA vaccines will persist in cells, I don’t think those data are even available, given that they’re proprietary. I’m willing to bet money not that long, just long enough to make some protein.  I suspect the mRNA vaccines are just good enough based on the infancy of the technology.

AAV sticks around, that’s why it works for gene therapy. So you have a cell making a viral proteins for a long time, probably after serum IgM and IgG levels have peaked. Meaning that you have an active immune response against a protein actively being made by cells in the body. The immune system is likely to mistake the cells making that protein as a foreign invader at that point, and react against them. That’s autoimmunity, a Pandora’s box I don’t want to see opened. Moreover, it will take long enough to develop that it could be missed by Phase 3 trials.

I’m by no means an expert virologist, nor will I lay claim to immunological expertise. But the last time I had misgivings about a new therapeutic people died. I hope I’m wrong about this one, in the meantime I won’t be taking it.

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